Friday, April 26, 2013

Olympiakos - Anadolu Efes ( 5th game )

Olympiakos Anadolu Efes 5th game prediction
Olympiakos and Anadolu Efes are facing each other for the final match up of this series. Currently, both sides won twice which were the home games for each side and the winner of this game is going to go to the Final Four held in London. In the last match up, Anadolu Efes managed to defeat Olympiakos Piraeus by achieving one of the most unforgettable comebacks of entire season. The last minute alley hoop of Jamon Lucas Gordon led Anadolu Efes take their chances of qualification to 5th game.

Anadolu Efes started to the last game very well, creating a lead as high as double digits already in the first quarter. However, visiting Olympiakos immediately balanced the game and took the lead towards the end of first quarter. Although Anadolu Efes managed to stop their opponents in the defense, their poor offensive performance made it impossible for them to regain the control of the game. Stanko Barac provided significant scoring off the bench in the second quarter where he even managed to hit a three pointer :) Something which I hadn't seen before from him. Since he was the only player with positive +/- rating, Anadolu Efes went to the locker room by accepting 38-44 Olympiakos lead. Everyone expected them to bounce back in the second quarter, but Anadolu Efes was far from convincing to turn the game around by weak comebacks until the final 2-3 minutes. The third quarter ended with 56-58 Olympiakos lead and visiting Greek side almost retained the lead until the final possession. At the end, it was Jordan Farmar who converted the free throws as well as the stolen possession to 3 pts shot and equalized the score. The final alley hoop of Lucas Gordon at last 00:02 brought home side a victory.

Prior to today's last battle, there are two important news. Sascha Vujacic is out of the rotation due to his criticism against the head coach Oktay Mahmudi. In Olympiakos,  Kyle Hines was taken to the hospital in the last training and his status for today's game is uncertain. Sascha Vujacic has been in terrible shape recently whereas the absence of Hines could be a bigger problem for Olympiakos Piraeus. If he doesn't play Josh Powell and Stratos Perperoglou might receive extended minutes. Surprisingly, Vasilis Spanoulis was totally out of rotation in the final quarter of the previous game. He was well defended by Anadolu Efes guards, but i still believe he should have been on the court in the final minutes. Today, he might be the guy deciding the fate of the series. In visiting side, Stanko Barac and Semih Erden finally put some good performance in the paint. Their dominance is present in rebounding figures as Anadolu Efes outrebounded Olympiakos by 44-31 in number of boards.

Today's spread is more or less the same of what we found in the first 2 games of this series. Although I expect an Olympiakos victory tonight, I don't think it is supposed to be that decisive. We are very likely to see another exciting performance possibly until the final minute. That's the reason why spread on behalf of Anadolu Efes looks okey to me.

Pick:  Anadolu Efes +6.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 8/10

Good luck and happy betting!

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  2. not much to say. The injuries of Jordan Farmar and Stanko Barac along with fouled out Dusko Savanovic made us lose the spread betting which seemed almost perfect in the half time.