Sunday, March 3, 2013

Royal Hali - Besiktas

The second game of sunday is played between Royal Hali Gaziantep and Besiktas this afternoon. Home side Royal Hali defeated Mersin Bsb. last weekend on the road where they reached an amazing 3pts shooting percentage. Besiktas played a rival game against Fenerbahce Ulker and they've lost just another big match up this season.

Royal Hali Gaziantep team performs surprisingly well even though they just promoted to the league this season. They are particularly stronger at home where they find a good balance of inside and outside scoring. Their superstar player Joey Dorsey plays inside with 16.3 ppg and he also leads the league in rebounding by 11.8 rpg. Another shining player is Mutlu Akpinar who has been terrific so far providing great perimeter shooting to his team. He averages 14.3 points per game. Their long injured player Akeem Swann also recovered from his problems in recent weeks. Finally, Point guard Jerome Collins is just a hot hand with his playmaking skills.

Visiting Besiktas has been undergoing a transition period. They already threw a towel in Euroleague, so they are likely to focus on domestic league more seriously from now on. Besiktas recently signed Ricky Minard from Bologna and he seemed he would be useful addition for the team. Point guard Daniel Ewing is injured while small forward Serhat Cetin missed their last game against Olympiakos last thursday. He suffered a food poisoning, so he might be exhausted even if he plays today.

The spread decided for this game looks quite in between to me. It was +5.5 at the beginning now it's as low as +4.5 as a lot of people including me think it to be quite a difficult match up for Besiktas. Since I didn't like the spread, I looked for alternative picks and one figure attracted me a lot. Royal Hali Gaziantep plays low scoring first half when they host teams weaker than them or teams of equal strength. There have been two exceptions to this trend.(Fenerbahce Ulker and Anadolu Efes) Both are teams with great scoring potential so, it's quite reasonable this streak to break down. However, I think Besiktas doesn't lay down within this category of scoring teams, so we could rely on this trend. Today's first half game total is 76.5 points. Of all those games Royal Hali Played at home, it's only Olin Edirne's visit when this line was exceeded.

In short, my pick for this game will be first half game total under.

Pick: Under 76.5 points in First Half @ 1.88
Stake: 8/10

Good luck and happy betting!

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1 comment:


    comfortably WON