Friday, March 22, 2013

Besiktas - Siena

Besiktas Montepaschi Siena pick
Euroleague TOP 16 stage is coming to an end. With three games remaining, Besiktas is set to host Montepaschi Siena tonight. While Besiktas continues without any victory in this stage, visiting Montepaschi Siena is working hard to retain the second spot right after Barcelona Regal in order to gain advantage in quarter finals.

I've been thinking thoroughly in order to figure out what pick I should take in this game. Besiktas is extremely inconsistent. Two weeks ago, they were trailed about 20 points in the first half, but they somehow managed to come back in the 3rd quarter, cutting the deficit as low as 2 points against Caja Laboral. Montepaschi Siena is more competitive and experience team,though. Nevertheless, I still think the double digit spread on behalf of Montepaschi Siena isn't as secure as it looks. Last week, Montepaschi Siena lost against Olympiakos at home. It wasn't the best day for point guard Bobby Brown. He shot 3/13 in the field and concluded the game with only 8 points.

After losing combined 6 games in a row both in domestic league and in Euroleague, Besiktas finally achieved its first victory after Curtis Jerrells left the team. The team was supposed to circulate the ball better once he left the  team, but this doesn't turn out to be any help to win games even if they do offense better. Nothing seems to be significantly improved in Besiktas side; one would safely say.

Given the fact that Montepaschi Siena lost its last game against Olympiakos, I expect them to start to the game with pretty aggressiveness today. As I said above, i find the full time spread rather suspicious because Besiktas somehow manages to play well at least a quarter. Instead, my pick will go for half time spread. The given 5.5 points margin isn't much a big deal, so Montepaschi Siena in such a must win game could cover it very easily. In a potential initial dominance, I'm keen on first quarter spread as well. Besiktas commits the most turnovers in the first quarter. There were times Besiktas turned the ball over even 10 times already in the first quarter. Although, they seem to have improved on that matter, they still make 4-5 turnovers in the first quarter of each Euroleague game. That's why first quarter spread is also valuable to me.

Pick: Montepaschi Siena Half Time -5.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 8/10

Pick: Montepaschi Siena First Quarter -3.5 @ 1.90
Stake: 8/10

Good luck and happy betting!

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