Tuesday, February 12, 2013

BC Khimik - Tofas Bursa

BC Khimik Tofas pick
After a terrible week of Turkish Cup matches, finally the european cups are underway and we start with BC Khimki - Tofas game of Eurochallenge Group K. It is a crucial battle for either side because both of them only have one victory each. In the first match up between those teams, Tofas managed to defeat BC Khimik 93-90 in Bursa.

This year Tofas showed quite inconsistent performance, especially when they played on the road. In fact, it is really safe to say that their home court performance was what took them to Eurochallenge TOP 16 stage. Two weeks ago, they defeated Mersin Bsb. on the road in the first home game of Mersin Bsb. team. It was sort of a surprising result because a lot of people were on behalf of Mersin side in that game. I consider that result as a giveaway of Mersin Bsb. rather than a decisive Tofas victory.

Ukrainian side BC Khimik is  a typical home team. They are placed in the second place of Ukrainian super league, mostly thanks to their excellent home performance; 8/1. This year, we watched Turkish teams playing against Ukrainian competitors many times, and their home dominance were quite clear.( Banvit played twice and Galatasaray Medical Park once). I expect no different night than any of those I previously watched.

Tofas has waived point guard Steven Burtt. He aveareged 17 points and 4.4 assists per game in Eurochallenge cup this year. So, it is very unlikely that Tofas might compensate his absence in such a short time period. Since 3 teams in this group have one victory each and the double average clause might be decisive at the end of the group matches, any single point is likely to count to determine the fate of the teams. While I expect a clear home side win, considering they lost the first game by 3 points deficit, I believe they should be covering the spread as well. For me, it is a full stake game.

Pick: BC Khimki -4.5 @ 1.85
Stake: 10/10

Good luck and happy betting!

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