Friday, January 25, 2013

Bobby Brown points

Bobby Brown montepaschi siena
Montepaschi Siena is going to host Besiktas at home tonight. The handicap spread determined for this match up is -12.5 which I think is little bit high. Therefore, I would like to focus on one player performance choice rather than the spread.

Bobby Brown is the leading player of Montepaschi Siena almost in all aspects. This year, He received 32.5 minutes per game in Euroleague so far. In 32 minutes, he averaged 21 points and 5.6 assists per game. During TOP 16, his minutes even increased as high as 35 minutes per game. Consequently, his figures increased to 24.8 points and 5.5 assists. The bet determined for him is 19 points against Besiktas tonight.

Besiktas has a terrible backcourt defense. Starting point guard and the biggest scoring ace Curtis Jerrells is a terrible defender. His backup Daniel Ewing is slightly better defensive player;however, it's hard to say that his defensive qualities are of Euroleague caliber. In terms of defensive skills, the best Besiktas guard Muratcan Guler is injured and he's unable to play tonight. Since he were the best option to be assigned to Bobby Brown, Besiktas would definitely hard time guarding him.

Bobby Brown who is athletic with great penetration and shooting skills is also a great free throw shooter. He is perfect 29/29 from the line in the past 4 games. With the return of Gasper Vidmar who was very dominant against Barcelona Regal last week, I don't expect Besiktas to be outscored early in the game. Under these circumstances, Bobby Brown is likely to score 20+ points tonight.

Pick : Bobby Brown over 19 points @ 1.87
Stake: 6/10

Good luck and happy betting!

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