Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Banvit - Triumph Lyubertsy

Banvit Lyubertsy triump pick
In the third match day, Winless BC Triumph Lyubertsy is visiting Banvit BK in Bandirma. Home side Banvit achieved its first victory last week when they defeated Buducnost Voli at home, so this week they try to extend their winning streak further.

BC Triumph Lyubertsy has a terrible TOP 16 period as of now. They lost both of their previous games. This is particularly interesting because BC Triumph Lyubertsy reached to this stage with perfect 6/0 record, one of the few teams in Eurocup 2012-2013 season. Surprisingly,though, they started to TOP 16 with a heavy defeat against Buducnost Voli on the road and Lyubertsy lost once again at the final possessions of Budivelnik Kiev match up. They are supposed to be very tense prior to this match up as a possible loss might mean more or less the end of the road for them.

BK Banvit Bandirma, on the other hand, currently has 1/1 record. After losing in Kiev, last week they managed to beat KK Buducnost Voli by 9 digits in a mostly close game. This year, they do show quite fluctuating performances which makes it more difficult than ever to find somethin value in their games. After a weekend rest without playing any domestic games, Banvit is preparing to secure their way to the Eurocup quarterfinals.

Like any previous match day, it's just another Banvit game that is hard to decide where one better stake. The strange downward performance of visiting Triumph Lyubertsy may be misleading given the fact they won all their games in the previous round. Banvit usually plays good at home but faces some trouble especially in the final quarter of the games. Since this match could be highly decisive to the fate of visiting side for the rest of the tournament, they better be extra motivated. BC Triumph rotation is deep enough where a few players receive significantly higher minutes than the rest. They are also good rebounding team which could help them to dominate BK Banvit during the game.

I believe the spread is risky to try, so it's better to focus on point total options instead. Although I do find the game total to be closer to Over than Under at the end, Banvit's poor performance to finalize the games at the second half makes me hesitate, too. While investigating other alternatives, I noted the first time line. Banvit when hosted opponents as a favourites at the first round of this tournament, had games with more scoring in the first half than the second half. In 3 of total 4 home games, there were over 80 points scored in the first half and today's line is set to 81 points. That's where i'll try my chances for this game.

Pick : First Half points over 81.0 @ 1.87
Stake: 8/10







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