Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Banvit - Buducnost

Buducnost Voli Banvit Bandirma pick
Banvit Bandirma is hosting Buducnost Podgorica in the second match day of Eurocup Top 16. Home side Banvit lost its first game against Budivelnik on the road where they led the scoring as high as 8 points at the first half but BC Budivelnik Kiev managed to come back at the second half. Visint KK Buducnost Voli had a fantastic start to Top 16 with a home victory achieved against BC Triumph Lyubersty at home. It's going to be a crucial match up where a loss could possibly jeopardy Banvit's chances of qualification.

Banvit Bandirma which is a regular Eurocup participant recorded 4 victories in 6 games within previous round. They had a tough time especially when they faced the opponents on the road. Although both defeats were handed in by strong Valencia Basket, Banvid suffered also in Mariupol when hosted by BC Azovmash. In fact, last week's poor performance in Kiev wasn't of any surprise for me as BC Budivelnik managed to keep up with Banvit and took the lead in the final quarter. In short, Banvit didn't have a good start by losing its first match up.

KK Buducnost Voli is without a doubt the best team of Montenegro. They participated in Eurocup 5 times in the past 6 seasons, so they are just as experienced as Banvit is. Buducnost completed the first round by being placed after Bilbao Basket which had a perfect 6/0 record in the first stage. Last week, Buducnost Voli achieved a comfortable win. 4 Buducnost players scored in double digits with Cedomir Vitkovac leading his team by his 24 points and 12 boards. KK Buducnost Voli grabbed a total of 40 rebounds as a team which is a remarkable statistics prior to their visit in Bandirma.

The main reason why Banvit suffered a loss in Kiev was their poor rebounding performance. Banvit was outrebounded by Budivelnik in Kiev where home side especially dominated the court by the second chance points created with good offensive rebounding performance. KK Buducnost Voli is a good rebounding team, so they are most likely to dominate the hosts by this statistic. Since Banvit lost its first game, they are expected to be extra cautious today. So, they should be appreciating every possession they have to control the scoring and tempo of the game. KK Buducnost Voli wouldn't mind adjusting itself either. Since they will play on the road, they would probably be happy with low scoring, slow tempo game. One statistics caught my attention over the other possibilities. KK Buducnost Voli hasn't allowed more than 72 points in Eurocup. The only game they were scored against 80+ points was their visit in Bilbao. Considering the importance of win for home side Banvit, head coach Orhun Ene's insistence for post offense and strong team rebounding of visiting side KK Buducnost, I believe the team total asserted to Banvit by Betsson is quite reasonable to value.

Pick : Banvit Team Total Under 79 points @ 1.84 by Betsson
Stake: 8/10

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