Saturday, November 10, 2012

Pinar Karsiyaka - Fenerbahce Ulker

Pinar Karsiyaka Fenerbahce pick
Two teams who competed in European competitions during mid week will face each other on sunday afternoon. Pinar Karsiyaka started to Eurochallenge 2012-2013 season with a victory granted with the last possession of the game against Tofas, whereas Fenerbahce Ulker was heavily defeated by Mapooro Cantu on the road. Soon after such a disappointing defeat, Fenerbahce Ulker team has to visit another tough arena, this time for Turkish Basketball league.

Pinar Karsiyaka is one of the best teams at home with a record of 3/3. Last week, Tofas managed to hand in Pinar Karsiyaka their first defeat in Turkish league this year when They scored a game winning three point buzzer beater shoot. Karsiyaka especially struggled to defend swingmen of Tofas who scored very efficiently behind the arc. Their record became 3/4 and this sunday, Pinar Karsiyaka will host anohter big team in their own arena. Visiting Fenerbahce Ulker disappointed his fans when they were swept by Mapooro Cantu last thursday. Fenerbahce Ulker didn't show good signs particuarly in the defensive side of the game. Mapooro Cantu scored pretty efficiently both inside and outside the paint area. In a quite short time, they need to confront another team with great supporting crowd behind.

When Karsiyaka beated Besiktas at home, they started to play very aggresivelly from the very beginning of the game. With a good combination of paint offense through pick and rolls and effective perimeter shooting, Karsiyaka began to control the game very quickly. The first quarter score was 24-11 with Pinar Karsiyaka lead. Dominance of home team continued in the second quarter too, and Pinar Karsiyaka went to locker room for half time break with a double digit lead, 44-27. I expect them to employ same strategy against Fenerbahce Ulker. Wounded Fenerbahce Ulker didn't have much time to recover after such a heavy defeat. So, it is very likely that they would be unease in the beginning of the game. Bo McCalebb was supposed to rest against Cantu; However, he was utilized and didn't seem to be fully recovered. David Andersen is a player who performs better and better each game. Bojan Bogdanovic also has provided great deal of scoring recently. Fenerbahce will definitelly utilize players such as Emir Preldzic and Ilkan Karaman more as they need to comply with three foreign player limitation. It'll be particularly interesting to see How Ilkan Karaman performs because, last year he played for Pinar Karsiyaka and he knows the atmosphere of this arena best. In one way or another, coach Simone Pianigiani has tough task to accomplish this sunday.

Given the current morale of Fenerbahce Ulker and the proven presence and support of home crowd, I expect a head to head game, neither side falling behind in scoreboard. The fate of game is very likely be decided by even last possession;therefore, making a side pick is no better than flipping a coin. My feelings say that Pinar Karsiyaka might hand in Fenerbahce Ulker their first defeat this season. But to stay in the safe side, I'll prefer half time spread instead.( Pinar Karsiyaka has known third quarter syndrome, so I avoid full time spread. Half time spread also has +0.5 advantage) I expect a similar performance of what Pinar Karsiyaka handed in Besiktas in the first half, just 3 weeks ago.

Pick: Pinar Karsiyaka half time handicap +2.5 @ 1.88

Good luck and Happy betting!

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1 comment:


    Smooth, just as expected