Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Michelin Etha Engomis - Tofas

etha tofas pick
Cyprus' Michelin Etha will host Tofas to achieve their first victory within Group A of Eurochallenge 2012-2013 season. Tofas, after losing against Pinar Karsiyaka by the final possession of game, will try to avoid second consecutive loss in this tough match up on the road.

Michelin Etha lost miserably against Krka Novo Mesto on the road where Krka scored tournament high 100 points, handing in a heavy defeat to Cypriot side. Michelin Etha was especially outrebounded by Krka.Visitors also shot poorly behind the arc with 34,5% only;therefore, this huge scoring margin occurred at the end of the game. Tofas played head to head against Karsiyaka in the 1st match day last week;however, they lost the game with a controversial final possession executed by Pinar Karsiyaka. The referees judged the offensive goaltending which was claimed to be a clear block by Tofas side.

Michelin Etha seems to have similar style of playing as Tofas does actually play. Tofas offensive sets are mostly based on mid-long range shoots, especially when Tomislav Ruzic is double guarded inside the paint, creating an open shoot space for backcourt players. Nevertheless, the fundamental decisive factor in this game will not be the tactical issues. Cyprus and Turkey have on going political issues which make this match up a very tense game. 2 years ago when Pinar Karsiyaka was hosted there, there were serious riots during and after the game, so similar stuff might be repeated tonight.

This is the first time Tofas participates in an european competition and they don't have enough experience to handle such games as a team. It is unknown whether or not young players can manage to stay calm in such a suppressive athmosphere created by Cypriot fans. In terms of side betting, it is extremelly difficult to say who wins this game. However, When we add the homecourt advantage and above mentioned issues onto the lack of experience of visitors, there is great value in a determined handicap. Tofas is definitelly a better team; however, Michelin Etha is clearly a tough team to confront at home. It should be a close game.

Pick : Michelin Etha +7.5 @ 1.88

Good luck and Happy betting!

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