Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Lietuvos Rytas - Besiktas JK

Rytas will have a crucial match up when they will host Besiktas JK on the 5th matchday of Euroleague Group D. Besiktas JK comes to Lithuania with a record of 2/2, defeating Partizan at home and Brose Basket on the road, whereas they lost against Regal Barcelona on the road and against CSKA Moscow at home. For Rytas, on the other hand, this game is even more important because they are 1/3 where they had their only victory against Partizan 2 weeks ago at home.

Besiktas JK started to Euroleague, surprising many of the authorities with consecutive victories against Partizan and Brose Basket. However, their real capacity is revealed when they faced more serious opponents such as Regal Barcelona or Cska Moscow. In both games, Besiktas JK was defeated badly, especially against CSKA, they presented totally disappointing performance. Cska is no brainer much stronger than them, but they were also too productive behind the arc, shooting 7/10 3 pts already in the first half. They also defended well the backcourt players of home side which at the end created a deficit of 27 points as a full time result. Basically, Besiktas JK was beaten mainly their own strength, 3 points shoots, being utilized well by Cska Moscow. They also lost against Fenerbahce 3 days ago.In short, their excellent season beginner performance is way gone.

Lietuvos Rytas is 3/3 in Lithuanian domestic league so far. As stated above, so far they have only one win and this is a crucial game for them if they seek to qualify for Top 16 in Euroleague. ( Well, it is important game for visitors as well, but for hosts, it is for sure more important). Rytas has two players, Renaldas Seibutis and Predrag Samardziski who played for Olin Edirne in Turkish basketball league before. They definitelly know Besiktas JK well, so they will do everything they could to help Rytas to win this game. Rytas has more euroleague experience than Besiktas and they will try to combine this fact with the support of home crowd in order to gain advantage over Besiktas JK for a victory.

Besiktas seems to have lost its rythm in the offense especially for outside shooting. When Besiktas JK defeated Partizan and Brose Basket, perimeter shooting was the key indicator for both victories. In this game, they will try to regain it. Wingmen Serhat Cetin and Patrick Christopher seek to contribute to scoring from the outside while Gasper Vidmar works his way in the paint to help scoring. Rytas is the worst offensive team in Euroleague, averaging only 67.3 points per game. Considering that they play at home, they better work on hard to improve this record. Renaldas Seibutis will try to be productive behind the arc whereas Predrag Samardziski struggles to contain Vidmar in the paint and to dominate him during the offensive sets. I expect a close game until the final possession, either side not outscoring the other. It is very difficult to make side betting as i value the chances being %50-%50 for either team.Both sides are very likely to score 70+ points;therefore, I stake my money on game total points rather than handicaps or money line.

Pick : Over 145.5 @ 1.90

Good luck and Happy betting!

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1 comment:


    Besiktas FT performance : 15/26
    Rytas FT performance : 14/19

    LOST :(