Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Lebron James under 6 assists

Finally, this is the moment. Nba 2012-2013 season will start tonight 01:00 (CET) with defending champion Miami Heat hosting Boston Celtics in American Airlines arena. Those teams were last matched up against each other in last year's Eastern Conference Final's with Heat getting past Celtics 4-3 taking their way into the NBA finals. One other important event occurred during the offseason when Ray Allen signed with Miami Heat in July, leaving lots of pissed Celtics fans behind. Those two factors will make particularly exciting tonight's game.(Isn't it what Nba organizators want ? That's the reason why they choose to organize such games as season premiers)

Since it is the first game of the season, it is a safe approach to watch the teams 10-15 days before putting serious stakes on picks. Both teams have undergone some serious changes;therefore, it is not so easy to figure out their capabilities with their new squads. Miami will definitelly gain offensive power adding good perimeter shooters such as Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis. Boston Celtics, on the other hand, strenghthened their squad with Mavericks' swingman Jason Terry and Rockets' forward Courtney Lee. Jeff Green is also fully recovered from his heart injury and he is ready to show what he is capable of. In short, both teams seems to fill in the holes they were supposed to be vulnerable.

Due to the reasons explained in above paragraph, I avoid taking any game totals. Since I expect quite a tense game, i think the handicap is quite uncertain as well. I do notice one nice opportunity, though. In the seven game series of last year's conference finals, Lebron James made over 6 assists only once on 30.05.12, in the second game of series. Let me also add that the game went to overtime. During the regular season matchups, Lebron making over 6 assits is 1/3 (on 20.04.12) when he played 41 minutes. One might possibly argue that Heat has a good shooters now, so they might help James to increase his assisting efficieny. I expect Ray Allen to be defended seriously by Celtics. Since Lebron is 2/10 in terms of making more than 6 assits against Celtics, I think this bet is of a great value. Both were games with high game totals, therefore, unless tonight's game going into overtime, I don't think he could repeat such performance again.

Pick: Lebron James under 6 assists @ 2.0

Good Luck and Happy betting!

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1 comment:

  1. http://i50.tinypic.com/f5blaw.jpg

    WON as usual!!!