Friday, October 26, 2012

Anadolu Efes - Cedevita Zagreb

Anadolu Efes started to the season employing a new coach. During the offseason period, Anadolu Efes had most of its squad with signed heavy contracts,so financially speaking, coach Mahmudi didn't have enough flexibility to create a team that fits to what he had in his mind in. The roles within the team were to be determined over the time.Due to this lack of flexibility, it took some time for him to figure out what he could get out of his squad at best.The defensive mentality and the type of basketball Anadolu Efes was meant to play didn't emerge overnight. Therefore, the team struggled at first, losing the super to its rival's Besiktas JK, losing the first game of Euroleague season ,having hard time in the domestic games etc. etc. Second match day in Euroleague became the turning point where Anadolu Efes performed as if they were meant to be founded  to play accelerated tempo basketball. They smashed the defending champion at home, leading the entire game since the beginning.

Cedevita Zagreb is a modest crotian team who mostly consists of crotian players. They are 0/2 in the euroleague so far being defeated heavily at Lithuania against Zalgiris and losing against Emporio Armani Milano at home in the previous game. The terrible 4th quarter that they performed handed in the victory to the visitors even though Cedevita Zagrep managed to keep the game in control during first 3 quarters.In tonight's game, they are hosted by Anadolu Efes which is always a tough match up on the road.

Anadolu Efes handed in a defeat to the defending champion Olympiacos last week. They started to the game
aggresivelly and accelerated the game pace as much as they did. Jordan Farmar and Sasha Vujacic who were teammates also in New Jersey Nets before shared the responsability, sending the visitors to the dressing room with 22 points margin already in the first half. Olympiacos showed some signs of effort to come back at the third quarter but Anadolu Efes managed to control game till the end. The game ended with a 26 points margin Anadolu Efes victory.

I expect Anadolu Efes to start to the game showing the same agresiveness on the defence and pace on the offense. In order to present that the last week's victory was of no coincidence, they will try to smash the visitors already at the first half. 2 days ago, Crotian center Stanko Barac injured and will be out of action for at least a month; however, Efes bench has enough depth to cover his absence. Despite a very reasonable full time spread, I prefer to focus on half time spread. Cedevita Zagreb couldn't hold on against Zalgiris when playing on the road.(Halftime score in Kaunas was 55-38) I presume a similar Anadolu Efes performance like their last game and end the first half with a double digit lead. Mediocre Cedevita Zagreb can not hold on much against heavily armed Anadolu Efes. Almost forgot, that Anadolu Efes will host Galatasaray in the domestic league next Monday, so they could make some rotation in the second half, considering this tough upcoming game. This is another reason to avoid full time spread.

Pick : Anadolu Efes half time handicap - 7.5 @ 1.90

Good luck and happy betting!

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1 comment:

    A smooth, expected result.